MENA Revolts: ECONOMIC FOUNDATION OF MENA REVOLTS (1)
ECONOMIC FOUNDATION OF MENA REVOLTS
We
need to look at the economic indicators as they relate to the MENA revolts and
revolutions. As we have said earlier, behind the rallying call of “the people
want the fall of the regime”, is the economic undercurrent that has seen
exclusion of wider layer of the populace especially the youth and the working
class. But this has to be done within the framework of global capitalist
economy, as the MENA economies are themselves subset of the complications of
global capitalism. On this basis, we can determine the real forces behind these
revolutionary movements in MENA; the relation of these forces and how to make
the revolutions resolve the economic contradictions that is behind these
revolutions. Indeed, the fundamental progress in these revolutions
will be determined not only by the organizational strength and structures but on
how it undermine and challenge capitalist economic foundations. This is why the
analysis of economic system in these countries is vital. However, as a start,
we need to expose the fundamental limitations of capitalism to move society
forward as this will provide background to why we advocate socialism as the
basis of change that these revolutions are clamoring for.
Suffering in the Midst of Superabundance
To start with,
capitalism globally has shown that humanity has reached its peak with the
system, which despite building the technological and material capacity to take
humanity out of misery, want and poverty, still stands as a fetter to further progress
of the society. Despite the huge wealth at the disposal of the world today,
more than half of the world’s 7 billion people still live in one want or the
other. In 2009, just 87, 000 millionaires out of population of over 6.5 billion
(0.0013 percent), were created by the iniquitous capitalist system while
hundreds of thousands are dying of curable diseases. According to the Guardian
of London in 2006, just one percent of the world’s population controls over 40
percent of the world’s wealth while 50 percent poor own only 1 percent of the
wealth. It indeed stated that just 10 percent of the world’s adults own 80
percents of the world’s wealth.
While the
world has developed technology such as telemedicine, tissue transfer, etc which
can, if not eradicate, at least seriously mitigate all the world’s diseases,
common diseases like malaria and water borne diseases continue to destroy the
future of millions of infants and youth. According to World Bank, more than 1
billion people, mostly in Africa, Asia and Latin America, have no access to
clean water. In a world where information and communication technology has made
development of society and dissemination of ideas and knowledge needed to make
every youth a whiz kid, half of the
world’s youth are still illiterates and lack basic education tools, talk much
less of information technology. Even those who are literate could hardly afford
access to the wonders of technology no thanks to poverty; huge exploitation by
capitalist multinationals corporations; lack of basic facilities like
electricity, access road; etc. In Africa, less than 50 percent of the
population’s children have access to education, and of those going to school
just one out of three complete primaries and post primary education. In the
whole world, less than 30 percent of the population has access to electricity
while half of the world’s population lives on $2.5 dollars per day. Yet, in
2009 alone, the world's military budgets are worth more than a trillion
dollars.
We go to these
extents to show that the world is not in short supply of required wealth,
resources and technical advancement, needed to put permanent smile and
happiness on the face of every man and women in the world. Contrary to what capitalist apologists will want the world to
believe that it is natural for majority of humanity to suffer in the midst of
abundance, history has shown that indeed society’s resources if used in the
interests of the majority can lift majority out of penury. In fact, at a period
when capitalism itself is threatened by its own contradictions in the 1930’s
(economic depression, world war and revolutions), it was compelled to adopt a
pro-welfare of economic management. For instance, between 1960’s and
1980’s, the wealth gap between the richest 10 percent and poorest 10 percent
was around 30 to 1, (though still very high) but
today it is more than 500 to 1. Within the same period (1960s – early 80s), due to government investment in social and
public services, and direct involvement in the economy, there was virtually job for more than 90 percent of the
youthful population in the advanced economies, but today over 20 percent of the youthful and workable population are
jobless in Europe, not because humanity does not
need the service of another worker, but because the rule of profit which means
that big business invest in “profitable ventures" (note that profitable
means the one that can bring the quickest profit, not necessarily those that
can bring food to the table of the ordinary people). This explains why just $6 billion needed to provide education to
millions of young and poor people in the developing world is not available, yet
hundreds of billions are lying fallow in the accounts of edge funds waiting to
be invested in “profitable” investment such as speculative businesses and pure
gambling which in the final analysis only redistribute the already made wealth
and not create new ones. In 2009, while the world is still rattled by the
economic recession, top US corporations are sitting on $2 trillion cash.
All of these
have shown that capitalism globally, despite developing technological and
scientific advancement, has served as fetters in translating these to
socio-economic advancement of the people, due to its profit-motivated
interests, which means that technological innovations which can develop
humanity on a massive scale, will be patented and commercialized. It also means
that newly developed medical and scientific
advancement will not be available for millions of people in need of it, because
profit will have to be made from it. Today, 24, 000 children are dying daily
due to poverty and curable diseases, but you have pharmaceutical corporations
and medical big businesses declaring billions in profit, which are not invested
in people’s need but in further exploitative and speculative businesses.
The situations have been more aggravated since the middle 1980s when
Margaret Thatcher in Britain and Ronald Reagan in US unleashed the neo-liberal
dragon to recoup rapidly, the wealth lost by the capitalist classes throughout
the world, during the Keynesian and welfare state eras when capitalist governments throughout the world had to encroach on
the profits of the capitalist big business through state funded public and
social services to stave off mass discontent arising from mass radicalization
in these 1950s and 1970s.
Historical Rise of Neo-liberal
Capitalism
Neo-liberalism means the return of the liberal capitalism of the 18th
century when capitalists, then in their infant state were given freedom and power
to expand their businesses having broken loose from feudalist/aristocratic
states.[1]
The post-revolt governments which comprised of the capitalists and their
defenders (both in parliamentary and republican forms) only insured the
interests of the capitalists against the downtrodden, majority of whom have
been transformed to workers of factories and big farms. The scientific and
technological breakthroughs like the steam engines and electricity, while
consolidating the economic and political powers of the capitalists (who were
becoming ever big factories and trusts and moving beyond the boundaries of
their countries) was at the same time multiplying the ranks of the working
class, who were seriously exploited in order for the multiplication of capital.
This also led to organization among workers through
unions and cooperatives.
As capitalism expanded its productive capability through
combines and monopolies (aided by expansion of technology that deepened
exploitation of workers, and threw millions of peasants and artisans to the
heap of penury) it also accentuated the inherent contradictions of capitalism.
Firstly, capitalists produce for markets for the society populated mostly by
majority of the working class and the pauperized section of the population. as
workers are exploited and peasants/artisans thrown to poverty, their share of
social wealth reduced, which means that the huge products of capitalist
factories are not consumed by majority of population. This will lead to
reduction in demand, subsequently necessitating fall in prices, and
consequently reduction in production capacity of industries. The initial
attempt of capitalists to use cheap labour of slaves, while reducing the cost
of labour for capitalist, only worsened the problem of demand for capitalists.
The decision of the capitalists to expand markets by moving goods to the
colonies, and seeking cheap resources and raw materials (by brutally
subjugating colonial people), in order to reduce cost of production and
subsequently, local demand, could only mean various capitalist governments
protecting its markets and colonies. This meant that capitalists in some
countries would have access to better markets and resources than other. This
scramble for colonies and markets is the background to the First World War,
which was unprecedented in its destruction of capacity and humanity. The
horrors of the war on the least developed capitalist economies led to the
Russian revolution of 1917, and massive revolutionary movements across Europe
and other parts of the world (Germany, Italy, Britain – 1926, China, etc.)
while other revolutions were derailed and could not lead to ouster of
capitalism, Russian revolution led to the ouster of capitalism, and
enthronement of a workers’ government. The Russian Revolution, though
confronted with major challenges (civil war, isolation, underdevelopment of
Russia and subsequently rise of monstrous bureaucratic clique of Stalinism),
changed the political landscape of Europe and indeed the world.
While reconstruction and rearrangement of world economy
through the War helped some of the countries including US, Europe (minus
Germany and Italy) and Japan to expand their economy, it at the same time laid
the foundation of bigger crises. Firstly, the economic expansion led to creation
of huge wealth for capitalists, who having saturated the markets could not
expand productive capacity. This led to massive speculation and financial
gambling in these countries. This is compounded by the fact that the third
world (or colonial) economies were at subsistent levels. The result is the
global economic recession of 1929-1933, with its attendant problems: massive
unemployment and worsening living conditions for the majority of the working
class. This, while creating problems for capitalism globally, was crippling the
German society, which is paying ever-multiplying war reparation to First World
War victors. The practical inability of Germany to pay the reparation led,
first to growing revolutionary movement, and subsequently, rise of fascism/Nazism
and Second World War. The enormous waste that accompanied the Second World War
meant that without immediate intervention of the state in rebuilding the
economies, capitalism would fail permanently in Europe, and of course across
the world. This is also coming at a time when many colonies have begun
revolting against continual imperialist subjugation of their lands, as the War
not only sapped the economies of the West, but also meant the colonies will
also be ruined and their progress stunted[2]. Furthermore, the victory
of Soviet Union, and the huge influence this gave it (as against the economic
and political crises witnessed in the capitalist West), further emboldened the
oppressed people in the colonies to seek for self-rule and independence from imperialism.
In the western countries, mass movements are also breaking out (from uprisings
and strikes to electoral rise of the left and socialist forces), against
capitalism.
Consequently, the Keynesian proposals that sought a minimal
state intervention, that were previously rejected, were not only implemented
but also expanded. This was mostly carried out by social democratic and
workers’ parties, which saved capitalism from total ruin by investing mass
anger of workers and the oppressed, to effect surgical operation in capitalism,
which guaranteed some benefits for the working class. However, the welfare state means that the government must encroach on the
profits of capitalists through increased tax, increasing wages to merge rate of
inflation, control of prices, direct involvement in production to provide full
jobs and essential services. Although, part of the services provided by the
state like mass education, healthcare, road and railways, etc helped the
capitalists minimize cost of production; the
capitalists ability to increase profit were restrained by the Keynesian state
policies leading reduced investments and inflation. On
the other hand, it led to rise in industrial unrest and militancy, as workers
sought for increase in share of profits to cover cost of inflation. Attempts by
governments to resolve this by increasing wages and more investments led
to more state deficits and recession of mid-1970s[3].
In order to finally resolve the contradiction (of the state trying to
play a balancing role between labour and capital, while placing the means of
production in the hands of the capitalists) is either to side with the workers
by taking away means of production from the capitalists or side with the
capitalists, by handing over the means of production, exchange, wealth
distribution and economic powers completely to them. Since the state in a
capitalist economy is capitalist state, they sided with the capital meaning
breaking all the barriers of maximizing profits both locally and
internationally - thus the term NEO-LIBERALISM. This started more slowly in the
late 1970s, but it gained political support and confidence with the rise of
ultra-free market demagogues like Thatcher and Reagan in the eighties, with
increased attacks on trade unions, which were the bulwark of workers against
the capitalist class. This period coincided with the decline in Soviet
economies, making capitalist class less fearful of the repercussions of return
to liberalism. The collapse of the Stalinist Soviet system in the 1990s only
provided more weapons for capitalist powers globally to attack workers and
pursue more profits. This process, which started in the western advanced
capitalist countries of North America, Europe and Japan, was pursued vigorously
and forcefully by capitalist governments through front organizations like
IMF/World Bank, in the third world in order to open up their economies to
multinational corporations. Many third world economies were
strangulated with odious debts and underdevelopment by the capitalist west.
Even those that leaned on Soviet economy/state or implemented radical
nationalist and Keynesian measures to develop their economies could not sustain
this as a result of bureaucratic apparatus and the lack of genuine socialist
revolutions. The collapse of Soviet state and east European economies meant
their subservience to global capitalism, in its neo-liberal phase.
The end result has been the
concentration of wealth in the hands of few corporations and individuals[4]
while governments sheepishly follow this process and in fact helped it through
imperialist interventions to break barriers to profits in third world (through
supports for undemocratic regimes, sponsored coups, economic strangulation,
political disintegration, etc. which were the capitalist governments
international order to prevent pro-Soviet Union third world states from
breaking away from capitalist stranglehold during the Cold War era).[5]
The Global Failure
of Neo-Liberalism
Introduction of neo-liberal phase of capitalism
was made possible after attacks on and infiltration of working class
organizations and parties were successful. It should be further underlined that
the collapse of the Stalinist soviet system in the 1990s further gave full
impetus for the complete unleashing of neo-liberalism. This was carried with
all instruments of imperialism – economic sabotage; political strangulation and
subjugation; and military interventions without any challenge. This allowed
many multinational corporations from the advanced capitalist countries to have
easy ride to the third world economies under various ludicrous policies[6]
such as free trade, which undervalues the products from third world countries
and make them to be dependent on primary products.
Third world economies were also
compelled to undertake liberalization of their vital social and
economic sector leading to opening up the third world economies to serious
exploitation by the foreign multinationals. National
government consequently devalued the currencies
and removed protections for small/medium
enterprises and state owned corporations, enterprises and social service
organizations; all leading to death of local enterprises, collapse and subsequent privatization of state-owned enterprises,
decay of public infrastructures and dwindling budget for social services in
order to maintain weak local currencies and service mounting debts. On the
other hand, introduction of neo-liberalism gave the little rats ruling over the
mismanaged economies of the third opportunity to protect their little wealth,
and even expand them. Readymade examples include Mobutu of Zaire, Marcos of
Philippines, Babangida/Abacha of Nigeria, among several others around the
world. But what these brutes stole in their countries pale to insignificance in
comparison with several
hundred billions of dollars extracted and looted
from the economies of these third world countries by western multinational
corporations, ably aided by the western imperialist governments, turning blind
eyes to the atrocities of these brutal rats. According
to Léonce
Ndikumana and James K. Boyce of Political Economic Research Institute (PERI),
North Africa lost more than $450 billion (in
constant 2010 dollars) to capital flight in the last 40 years.[7]
Prior to the
introduction of neo-liberal capitalist policies, many of the third world
economies were partly controlled by state, even those countries that were
pro-capitalist were - a fall out of the Keynesian/welfare state ideology of the
post-war period (1960s – 80s). But these state-controlled economies were run
like private fiefdom of the ruling elements with nepotism, cronyism, looting,
corruption and lack of democratic planning being
the order of the day.
The
introduction of neo-liberalism, was not to correct (and could not have been the
correction to) the shortcomings of the bureaucratically and corruptly managed
state controlled economies but to reverse all the positive gains of these
economies and hand over the economies to the capitalist sharks to cream off
these gains and use the state built infrastructures to get mega-profits. The
collapse of the Stalinist Soviet system and the bankruptcy of the once militant
trade unions and hitherto left-leaning workers’ parties only provided veritable
environments for this to take place. The end result has been huge and
unprecedented wealth disparity, attacks on social sectors like education,
health, childcare, pension, old age care, etc., retrenchment and unemployment.
According
to UNDP in its 1990 HDR, “The growth of per capita income, one of the critical
elements in improving human development, was 2.9% a year on average for all
developing regions between 1965 and 1980. This trend broke sharply in the
1980s. Sub-Saharan Africa's per capita income grew by only 1.6% a year between
1965 and 1980, but it has since been declining by 2.4% a year. Latin America,
because of persistent debt problems, moved sharply from 3.8% annual growth in
per capita income in 1965 to an annual decline of 0.7% in the 1980s.” it stated
further: The number of Africans below the poverty line rose by two-thirds in
the first half of the 1980s - compared with an increase of about a fifth for
the developing world as a whole - and is projected to rise rapidly in the next
decade.
The average unemployment has
been rising in the MENA countries since the eighties. According to Arab Labour
Organization (ALO), average weighted unemployment has risen from 10.6 percent
in the eighties to 14.5 per cent in the 1990, and by 2005, it has risen to 15.5
per cent, for a group of Arab countries: Morroco, Egypt, Algeria, Tunisia,
Jordan and Syria. Unemployment growth rates in these countries range from 6.6
percent in Jordan to 0.8 per cent in Tunisia, between 1980 and 2002. Indeed,
for high income (oil producing MENA countries), the picture, though less
gruesome, is the same. Youth unemployment has been very high in these countries
despite huge oil wealth: Algeria (46 percent); Saudi Arabia (26 percent);
Kuwait (23 percent); Bahrain (21 percent); and, Qatar (17 percent).[8] These
unemployment data mask the real terrible unemployment situation in these
countries. For many of these countries, short-time (e.g. construction) and
irregular employment are categorized as real employment, while several
millions of youths have been pushed to
precarious informal jobs that can hardly guarantee them better living, while
government’s policy or development of big industries can easily kill their businesses
off. In the Middle East and North Africa informal sector of the economy account
for 27 per cent of GDP, while non-agricultural informal sector employment range
between 40 to 50 percent in Algeria, Egypt, Morocco and Tunisia as at 2003
while that of Syria is around 30 percent. That of Libya is low because, as at
this time, despite growing neo-liberal influence in the economies, the states
still controlled the major parts of the economies, which guarantee formal jobs.
Indeed, since 1970s, the share of manufacturing sector has reduced in Northern
Africa from about 13 to 11 per cent from 1990 to 2008.
According to the UNDP in its 2009 Arab
Human Rights Report, “…the Arab countries were
less industrialized in 2007 than in 1970, almost four decades ago. This
includes MICs with a relatively diversified economic base in the 1960s, such as
Algeria, Egypt, Iraq and Syria. True, Jordan, Oman, Tunisia, and UAE have made
noticeable progress in industrial development. Nonetheless, in general, the
contribution of manufacturing to GDP is anemic, even in Arab countries that
have witnessed rapid industrial growth and especially when compared to the
shares of other developing countries such as the East Asian economies. For the
majority of Arab countries, manufactured goods made up less than 11 per cent of
total commodity exports in for the year 2006/2007. Moreover, all country groups
appear to be converging on the modest regional average, which was below 10 per cent
in 2007, from an initially diverse sub-regional industrial base in 1970.” Income
poverty rose in Arab countries from 17.6 percent in the 1990s to 18.3 percent
in 2000-2005, while human poverty (which is broader in coverage) is around 22
percent. [9]
Indeed, within
1960s through the late 1970s, Africa's economies grew by over 80 percent by
average, with the growth in states' investments in industry, infrastructures
and social services playing significant part of the growth. Although, some of
the growth were funded by grants and aids (which made the African countries
tied to the political and strategic interests of the major players in the Cold
War politics, especially US and other western imperialist nations), and loans
(mostly from western nations) which later become a rope to tie many countries
to the burden of neo-liberal structural adjustments; these were used on
industrial and infrastructural development , even if some of the funds were
creamed off by the corrupt officials and multinational corporations (through over bloating of contracts sums and
capital flight), aside lack of democratic planning and control of state
policies leading to waste, mismanagement and lack of priority. But they are still an improvement over the
current arrangement where the state insures private businesses, including
multinational corporations rather than the citizens at public costs.
Interestingly, the facilities provided with the borrowed funds and grants in
the 'Golden' era of capitalism, are now been used by the capitalist class (both
local and foreign) to gain huge profit in this neo-liberal era. Indeed, the
so-called gains of governments' disengagement from economic control, is
ephemeral as the state resources/wealth that would have been used to secure
jobs are now used as overhead cost to ensure the survival of big capitalist
corporations, who rely on state economic, political and military interventions
to survive. So much for the ideology of lean government!
All this shows the
degeneration, and the background economic crisis that has faced not just the
MENA countries, but indeed, the whole world economy (most especially the third
world), since the adoption of neo-liberal ideology in the 1980s.
The working
and oppressed people have always rose to resist these policies, but the
bankruptcy of the leaderships of the pro-capitalist workers’ movements and
former left-leaning social democratic and ‘communist’ parties have led to
defeats for the working people, the poor and the youth. These resistances have
not alone taken the forms of strikes and protests, but also open rebellions,
like factory occupations and uprisings as seen in Argentina in 2004 (when five
presidents succeeded each other within two weeks of massive protests across the
country). Even, in the advanced capitalist countries, the working class has
taken to open revolts (as in Miners' Strike in Britain in 1984, Seattle
movement in US in 1999) or used electoral means to defeat anti-poor
governments. Although, as a result of the absence of genuine alternative
political platforms of the working and oppressed people, another neo-liberal,
if not worse governments have only replaced the rejected ones (a reflection of
the two- or three-party ‘democracy practiced in the capitalist world today), as
seen in Britain, France, Ireland and the US.
In Africa, and
specifically in Nigeria, between 1999 and 2007, the labour movement led seven
general strikes that paralyzed the ruling class, showing the huge quest for
alternative by the working people, but such diverted to safer channel on behalf
of capitalism by labour leadership. In January 2012,
the mass of workers, youth and the oppressed organized one of the most radical
movements in the history of the country, in resistance to attempt at increasing
pump prices of petroleum products by the Jonathan IMF/World Bank-controlled
regime. The government was suspended in midair within the one week of
revolutionary movement. If not for the treacherous compromise of the labour
movement leadership, this movement, which gained inspiration from MENA revolts,
could have led to the ouster of the regime. In fact, had there been a genuine
working class revolutionary programme, capitalism would have been ousted.
In
South Africa, the revolutionary movement of the black majority, led by the
Africa National Congress (ANC) was diverted to only equal political and social
rights (for blacks and whites) that saw the emergence a black majority
government (since 1994), but left the economy under the stranglehold of
imperialist capitalism, albeit with a layer of black capitalists incorporated
into the apartheid capitalist economy. The minimal public ownership programme
of the Nelson Mandela-led ANC was abandoned as soon as they formed government,
with neo-liberal capitalist Growth, Employment and Redistribution (GEAR) policy
replacing the Freedom Charter. Today, more than a quarter of the population is
very poor with several millions of unemployed population, while the country’s
image is blighted with pervasive slums and squatter lodges. The image of
apartheid was brought back in 2012 when 34 miners were gunned down by the state
police during a miners’ strike in Marikana, Rustenburg region; an action
reminiscent of the Soweto massacre of 1976.
These examples
shows that the working masses and the youths have not been passive in resisting
anti-poor policies, but they have been held back or led to defeat by their
pro-capitalist leaderships. Furthermore, the various capitalist ruling classes,
especially in the third world countries, in a bid to continue to rule over the
rottenness of capitalism and protect their privileges, have adopted
divide-and-rule strategies to further weaken vibrant structures of resistance.
This has led to germination of racism, ethno-religious strives, religious
fundamentalism, and recently, war against terrorism, etc, which aside
destroying the fabrics of a civil society, are now being used to further
attacks the democratic rights of workers and the poor, and prevent them from
challenging the status quo through the strengthening of repressive state
apparatuses and capitalist laws e.g. various
anti-terrorism laws that are mostly used to gag people and prevent them from
challenging corrupt regimes. This has further given these third world
regimes, both autocratic and pseudo-democratic, opportunity to divert huge resources
for pecuniary interests/hand over the economy to the imperialist capitalist
sharks. All this have been the features of the Middle Eastern and North African
countries where general revolts are now taking shape. These political economic
analyses are fully unraveled in these revolutions, and they explain the
shortcomings and the fundamental limits of these revolutions.
Footprint of Global Capitalist Crisis
The footprint of global capitalist
crisis are clear on the MENA revolts and revolutions as witnessed in the deeper
integration of the region into capitalist orbit, and its dependence on global
capitalism. While so-called economic growth are announced for the region, the
reality is that from country to country, this economic growth, aside being concentrated
in few hands, have actually furthered exploitation of the working people. While
wages and income have increased, on the basis of global integration of
capitalism, and neo-colonial nature of MENA economies, these increased incomes
could actually buy fewer goods, while as a result of neo-liberal policies of
privatization, commercialization and liberalization, working people have been
forced to spend more of their income on paying for what are previously
subsidized by the state. Added to this is the stagnation in society occasioned
by the failure of capitalism to provide opportunity for new entrants into the
middle class, thus condemning them into not just working class, but in many
instance to the relics of the society. As a results of neo-liberal policies,
public enterprises and utilities were privatized from one country to the other.
In Egypt, this meant over 209 public companies (out of 314) by 2005
privatized wholly or partially, while workforce has been halved. Also
neo-liberal privatization in Libya led to the retrenchment of over 200, 000
workers. Consequently, as global capital searches for more profits, the
economy, through austerity for the majority but more wealth for the few,
shrinks. This meant there are no new expansions for capitalist economies. Where
new expansions are witnessed, like in the telecommunication sector, they are
immediately offset by closure and contraction of many other sectors of the
economy. Moreover, because of the predatory nature of neo-liberal economy, the
so-called expansion actually translate to contraction, as lesser people with
low wages are employed in relation to the revenue and profits being made. The
summary is that there are no new expansions, which will accommodate new
entrants into the economy especially educated youth. For instance, in North
Africa, demand for employment has been increasing by 4% per year while number
of new graduates increased by between 6 to 8% per year, between 1970 and 2010.
Furthermore, those who are in the categories of middle class are finding it
more difficult to maintain their hitherto status.
One of the drivers of the revolts and
revolutions is the rise in cost of living occasioned especially by rise in cost
of food. This in itself is traceable to global capitalist system. Main drivers
for rise in cost of food have been climate change, increasing use of biofuel
and rising crude oil prices[10]. Based on capitalist
exploitation of the environment including increasing dependence on fossil fuel
(which many MENA countries rely on for their income), without care for its
sustenance, there has been rise in adverse weather conditions, which have affected
many food-producing countries, especially in the South East Asia. This has also
affected many MENA countries, which food production are hitherto on marginal
levels (e.g. Egypt and Libya produce less than 30 percent of their food need).
According to 2007/2008 Human Development
Report Egypt, Lebanon, Sudan, and the countries of North Africa are areas that
could have been most affected by climate change[11]. Added to this is the growing use of foodstuffs for biofuel,
which has affected the supply of foodstuff, and the cost. Moreover, rise in
crude oil prices, aside leading to further encroachment on available food, has
also necessitated rise in cost of living in food-producing countries, which has
affected prices of foodstuffs sold in the international market. With the
neo-liberal policies, introduced in these MENA
countries, which has seen incomes effectively reduced (as privatization,
commercialization and retrenchment eat deep into income), the rise in cost of
food could only worsen the case for majority of the populace. The subsidies
provided by some of these regimes have also been cut; and where they have been
maintained, they have not matched the increase in global food prices.
Another international
economic factor in the MENA revolts and revolutions is the impact of global
economic maelstrom that started in 2008. This has led to drastic cut in foreign
remittances in some MENA countries. Global economic crisis, leading to
contraction in the economy also affected the MENA countries. For instance, for
the whole of North Africa (comprising Egypt, Tunisia, Libya, Morocco, Sudan and
Algeria), export growth contracted from 37.2 percent in 2008 to -35.2 percent
in 2009. It reduced from 62 percent to -12.1 percent in Egypt, 27.4 percent to
-25.2 percent in Tunisia, 41.8 percent to
-40.0 percent in Libya, 32.6 percent to -30.9 percent in Morocco, 31.8
percent to -43.0 percent in Algeria and 31.4 percent to -32.9 percent in Sudan. While the export
growth rate picked up in 2010, (23.0 percent) for the region) the increases
are mere marginal increase over 2009, and could not cover up for massive impact
it has had on the working population. In other parts of MENA, the story is the
same. For instance, in Syrian, the export growth rate reduced from 33.5 percent
in 2008 to -29.6 in 2009; Yemen, from 20.4 percent to -17.5 percent, Bahrain,
from 27.0 percent to -31.4 percent and Oman, from 56.3 percent to -25.6
percent. [12] It is worth noting that
all of these countries rely on export for as source of national income.
However, while global economic recession has effect on the economies of these
MENA countries, and contributed to the heightened social anger, the real source
of the mass revolts lie in the neo-liberal capitalism that has ensured the
collapse of better living conditions for the majority of the population.
[1] This victory was
gained through revolts and revolutions carried out by the working people from
new factories, journeymen, poor artisans, serfs, farm workers, downtrodden of
the cities and unemployed, but led and directed under the guide of the emerging
factory capitalists, who were also exploited, through state policies (in favour
of landowners) of the aristocratic governments, controlled by big landowners
and feudalists.
[2] This is at a time that
imperialism, in a bid to build expanded markets, created a middle class in the
colonies, to man western businesses.
[3] This was worsened by the oil
strike of Arab states against Western governments’ support for Israel in the 1973
Arab-Israel war.
[4] Just one percent
of the world population controls over 39 percent of world’s wealth (Huffington
Post, May 31, 2013, www.huffpost.com, retrieved July
2013).
[5] a. Glyn, Andrew, Capitalism Unleashed, Oxford University Press, London,
2006
b. Confession of an
Economic Hit Man, John Perkins
[6]
John Perkins,
Confession of an Economic Hit Man,
[7] Léonce Ndikumana and James K. Boyce, Capital Flight
from North African Countries Political Economy Research Institute (PERI), University of
Massachusetts, Amherst October 2012
[8] Quoted from Arab
Human Development Report, 2009
[9] Ibid.
[10] Kola Ibrahim,
World Food Crisis: the Role of Capitalism and
[11] Quoted from Arab
Human Development Report, 2009, page 49
[12] All data from
UNCTAD Handbook of Statistics, 2011.
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